With the collapse of the Soviet Union, scholars and politicians widely
assumed that the relationship between religion and politics in the Caucasus
and their combined effect on society would be strengthened Indeed such
factors as the disappearance of Communist ideology, the rise of national
cultural and historical identity, and proximity to Islamic Iran would seemingly
lead to the rapid. rise in political religious organization or at least
the emergence of some kind of religious solidarity, which could result
in possible religious conflicts within the region. Yet almost five years
after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, religion plays quite an insignificant
role in politics throughout the Caucasus, adhering, rather, to a more general
interest in national tradition and culture. Religious leaders do not exercise
much influence on political or social developments in the region, and religious
political parties or movements are still in clandestine form.
While the mountain peoples of various linguistic groups had never been organized into a formal state, the theocratic entity came into existence during the anti-colonial war against Tsarist Russia. Headed by Imam Shamil, a legendary hero of the mountain peoples, the new Caucasian state was termed Imamat after its spiritual and political leader. Under Shamil's leadership (1834-59), the peoples of Northern Caucasus quite successfully repelled the attack of the much more powerful invading Russian army.
Recent political developments in the region since the Soviet Union's collapse suggest that years of religious suppression under the Soviet government did have a significant effect on religion due to Communist efforts to considerably diminish the role of religion, which included terror against clergy, elimination of churches and mosques and ostracism of religious believers. Concurrently. though, the Soviets encouraged the growth of ethnic diversification-a policy that created a powerful prerequisite for ethnonationalism which eventually destroyed the USSR. These legacies would determine the future developments and role of religion in social life. Overall, the rise in ethno-nationalism in the former Soviet Union following Gorbachev's liberalization led to an increased identification with ethnicity, and religion was one of the important factors influencing ethnic identity. Yet heightened ethnic awareness never led to an increase in "pure" religious sentiment or a greater, trans-ethnic religious identity which could be transferred into political religious movements and trans-ethnic religious unions. One can thus reasonably conclude that a possible emergence of political unions based on religion is doubtful in the Caucasus. Moreover, a Shamil-style religious unification is hardly possible even if the Northern Caucasus is in war.
Recent developments in the Northern Caucasus confirm this point quite well. After Gorbachev's liberalization, the Muslims in the Northern Caucasus were able to exercise their religious rights freely. This revival necessarily led to the rebirth of Islam. Slowly, the KGB and nomenclature tried to prevent what they feared to be religious unification of the people of the Northern Caucasus. However, ethnic and territorial differences in the region forced splits among them without significant KGB efforts. As a result, the Islamic movement in this region, did not emerge as such political and economic competition between ethnic groups and not so much religious ideology.(3)
The Confederation of Peoples of the Northern Caucasus (CPNC), which
united sixteen ethnic groups in the region, rejected primacy of religion.
CPNC President Musa Shanibov when speaking of the history of the Caucasus,
noted that "all our ancestors were closely connected with each other, but
the empire separated us. Therefore our main goal is to build the united
state in the Caucasus."(4) The conflicts that followed the Union's
collapse, however, took on a familiar mode of inter-ethnic/ethno-nationalist
conflicts, considerably decreasing any possibility of an emerging trans-ethnic
bond. The more recent events in Chechnya clearly demonstrate this: Chechen
rebels took Muslim Daghestanis in Kizlyar in January 1995 as hostages and
used them as human shields against Russian federal troops.
The status of the Armenian church presupposed its very important role for Armenian identity. This was the major reason why from the beginning of the Nagorno-Karabakh crisis, religion has played a more active role in Armenia than in Azerbaijan, with in some cases priests heading nationalist demonstrations.(12) Manifestations of religion which later emerged in Azerbaijan in weaker form did not produce significant religious unions outside of the two nations; thus significant religious elements in this conflict died out.
Most recently, changes in Moscow's support for Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia has been dependent on the local government position regarding union with the Soviet Union and joining the CIS, and Russian military re-deployment and border control. These developments further illustrate that Russian (Soviet) policy in the Caucasus was based not so much on religious preferences, but on political and security interests.
Yet, from time to time, some political actors use slogans of religious solidarity. When Russian Vice President Alexander Rutskoi accused the CPNC of "unlawful acts of sending armed volunteers to Abkhazia," the chairman of the Muslim organization, Religious Communities of the Caucasus, Magomet Magomayev, publicly declared that the CPNC in this case was following Muslim laws, not the laws of the Russian Federation. He also said: "Abkhazians are our brothers. We have to help them because this pleases Allah."(13) However, only a part of Abkhazians are Muslim, which make this argument quite unconvincing.
In Chechnya, with presumably stronger religious traditions, religion
was not included in the political agenda of local nationalists before and
after de-facto independence. President Dudaev only changed the days of
rest from Sun- day to Friday to adhere to Muslim tradition, but he did
not support the establishment of Sharia religious courts as some may have
expected. (14) Importantly, Dudaev did not indicate much interest in the
Confederation of Peoples of the Northern Caucasus, and after declaration
of Chechnya's independence this organization lost its "east flank," demonstrating
the weakness of non-ethnic affiliations. Even the invasion of Russian forces
into Chechnya one year ago failed to trigger a rise in religious solidarity
among Caucasian Muslims. Except for a very limited number of volunteers
and humanitarian aid, no significant assistance was provided from
Muslim nations. While some Russian sources were talking about the thousands
of Islamic mercenaries in Chechnya, no credible evidence was provided.
After anti-Armenian riots in Baku and complete loss of control by the local authorities in January 1990, Gorbachev openly accused APF leadership of attempting to create an "Islamic Republic." He then used this argument as justification for military assault on the city of Baku, adding that the invasion was an attempt to save the lives of ethnic Armenians in Baku, despite the fact that most had already left the city. However, neither radical Islam nor anti-Armenian pogroms were the main reasons for the Soviet military invasion. Rather, the invasion was truly based on a real threat to the local Communist authorities and Soviet control in Azerbaijan.
Azerbaijani Parliamentary elections in 1991, which would undoubtedly bring APF an overwhelming majority in the republican legislature, was an event which Moscow tried to avoid. Several observers even see the possibility that riots as well as portraying the Popular Front in "Islamic" colors were provoked by the Soviet KGB with the goal of arresting the APF, who at that time had overwhelming popular support and came close to taking power by legal means in Azerbaijan. The major initiator of such plans was probably Victor Polianichko, then the Second Secretary of the Azeri Communist Party and the most trusted Moscow agent in Baku.(15)
The reason for this policy was evident; though the 'anti-Soviet' label was quite sufficient evidence for the liquidation of the opposition in the old days, the period of perestroika demanded that Gorbachev evoke Western sympathy for this action. Gorbachev's notion of an "Islamic threat" was clearly aimed at attaining that goal. The concept of "Islamic fundamentalism" evoked certain reactionary feelings in the West. The alleged threat of spreading Iranian radical Islam beyond the Iranian borders touched a raw nerve among the Western political elite, who considered such events much more dangerous than Soviet or Russian expansion. As a result, Western governments-including the Bush Administration-supported the Soviet invasion in Azerbaijan. And different political circles would use similar appeals of "Islamic fundamentalism" in the Caucasus in the region in the coming years to gain Western support. However, there is no valid evidence whatsoever that such threats really exist in the Caucasus, nor that they ever will exist in the foreseeable future.
In other parts of the Caucasus, the situation has been similar. Despite
Christian religious traditions. relations between Armenia and Georgia were
in many cases tense throughout the post-Soviet period as well as Azeri-Iranian
relations. Within these countries similarity of major religious branches
did not transform into cohesive relations. On the contrary, ethnic differences
were crucial.
It is not surprising. then, that such policy resulted in separatist tendencies among minorities, including Ossets (Orthodox Christians), which culminated in a South Ossetian parliamentary decision to unite with North Ossetia, thus becoming a part of the Russian Federation. The Ossets have also taken steps to establish friendlier relations with the republics of the Northern Caucasus and Abkhazia. In a similar incident, the chairman of the Supreme Soviet of Abkhazia, Vladislav Ardzinba, noted that "Abkhazia is for Abkhazians" in response to Gamsakhurdia's "Georgia is for Georgians."
Ardzinba's actions provoked ethnic division In Abkhazia and an "ethnic cleansing" movement to force all ethnic Georgians to leave this autonomous republic and become refugees. The religious dimensions of the conflict between Georgia and Abkhazia as well as Georgia and South Ossetia are quite difficult to find. It is evident that one of the main causes of the Georgian-Abkhazian conflict are demographic changes in Abkhazia, such as decrease of numbers of ethnic Abkhazians in their home region.
Even at the present time, after the ethnic cleansing and migration of
most Georgians from Abkhazia, the Abkhazians are only in third place after
Russians and Armenians in the list of ethnic groups. So, the fear of total
assimilation, together with Gamsakhurdia's ethno-nationalist policy, played
an important role in start of the conflict. The other important factor
of conflict in Abkhazia, according to some observers, is the "hidden Russian
hand" which tries to ensure Russian "zones of influence" and "strategic
interests."(18) In the case of Abkhazia, Russia presumably attempted to
get access to Black sea ports, which Georgia refused to grant at that time.
It seems that these Armenian requests were in large part a product of long-standing nationalist sentiments about Armenia's "lost" territories, with Nagorno-Karabakh as a part of "historic Armenian lands". In this regard, arguments within the framework of the economic, social considerations or legality of such a move did not produce an adequate response by the Armenian side. Those territorial demands followed the deportations of ethnic Azeris from Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia proper and, similarly, the flight of Armenians from Azerbaijan. The hostilities which followed these events fit clearly in the familiar pattern of ethnic conflict. As a culmination, the decision of the Armenian Supreme Soviet in 1989, Armenia declared the Nagorno-Karabakh region a part of Armenia. It led to outright war between Armenian and Azerbaijani forces, which resulted in 20 percent occupation of Azerbaijani lands and one million refugees.
Most observers and participants in this violent conflict recognize that religion has not been a significant factor in escalating tensions. While Islamic-Christian differences did contribute to tensions there (as well as elsewhere in the Caucasus), it would be an oversimplification to equate the sometimes negative impact of religious affiliation with the effect of religious institution per se. (21) As Hunter correctly notes, the main reason for this conflict was the lack of democracy, "religious abuses that the Armenian community of NKAO Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Oblast suffered ...were the consequence of the anti-religious dimension of Communism and not the anti-Christianism of Islam."(22) Azeris actually suffered from the same Communist suppression of their freedoms, historic culture and religion.
In the beginning of this conflict, meanwhile, some observers were quick to note that Azerbaijan is historically Shi'i, and presumably then, more inclined toward fundamentalism, since fundamentalist Iran is also Shi'i. Such oversimplification is unfortunately quite widespread. During The Iran-Iraq War, there were attempts to explain this confrontation "in terms of Shi'i-Sunni differences and the threat of Shi'i revolt in Iraq, though the cause of fighting had much more to do with a straightforward dispute over territory."(23) Meanwhile, in Azerbaijan, where the majority of the population could hardly differentiate between Shi'i and Sunni versions of Islam. the five-year contact with Iran hardly produced any rise of religious aspiration.
This is especially striking when one considers that the open Azeri-Iranian border, which was previously tightly closed, allowed the free movement of people, flow of religious literature and so on. Secular Azeris were shocked by the observations of everyday life in Iran, which were controlled by Sharia laws, and thus were in some sense "immunized" against attempts of introducing anything similar in Azerbaijan. On the contrary, there is a lot of anecdotal evidence regarding Iranian visits to Baku to enjoy vacations and a "spirit of freedom".
It is also important to note that in the post-Soviet period, Iranian policy toward the Caucasus did not coincide with any religious affiliation of their populations. Iran was not in favor of Azerbaijan. but was rather, pro-Armenian. indicating that even such an "archetype" fundamentalist state follows the political practices of any secular state. Iran, putting aside radical slogans, is not as concerned with spreading Islamic revolution in Azerbaijan and the Caucasus as it is in preventing the emergence of an ethno-nationalist aspiration among the 20 million ethnic Azeris living in Iran. Relations with Armenia may even help Iran access the West and repress its reputation as a pariah state.
These developments do not completely exclude the possibility that in
the future, religion will become more important in internal politics, or
that new generations tired and impoverished in the post-Soviet turmoil
will embrace fundamentalist regimes. However, it seems that in the coming
years such events are not likely. The discussions of a bigger role for
religion will mostly be limited by issues on the level of high school prayers
in the US. Public opinion polls demonstrate quite clearly that while population
does not sympathize with the politicizing of religion, there is an indication
that people in the Caucasus are interested in a larger role for religion
generally, deemed necessary to revive a national culture and historic legacy
that was heavily damaged by Communist ideology.
There is also no significant indication of religious preferences in
terms of foreign policy orientations among public opinion in the region.
The US Information Agency recently sponsored a study which indicated that
the Armenian public had favorable attitudes towards Syria, Iran, France
and the US, while attitudes towards Turkey were extremely negative. Almost
60 percent of the population had unfavorable attitudes towards Georgia,
while two out of three Armenian respondents looked favorably upon Muslim
Central Asian republics.(24) Similarly, Azeri respondents looked favorably
upon Iran, Turkey and the US (88, 96 and 77 percent, respectively).(25)
The same study found two-thirds of Azeri respondents noting that religion
should be separated from political life; among the highly educated Azeri
populace, this sentiment is even greater. These results clearly indicate
that populations hardly take into account religious differences when considering
political orientations. Rather, society is more concerned with political,
economic and historical considerations.
Indeed, the pleas to Russia and the West-which are, supposedly "natural allies" for those Christian nationalities did not always produce the expected results. Christian solidarity did not prevent crucial Russian support of Abkhazian forces in their fighting against Georgia. Furthermore, the current U.S. preferential treatment of Armenia mostly depends on a powerful Diaspora, and not so much on common Christian heritage. And similar examples can be cited in the Muslim world. Key political players in the region, including Russia, Turkey, Iran and the West, have more important criteria for determining their political priorities-such as security and economic issues. The same criteria are used by local political actors in the region, while religion plays a marginal role in this process.
References
1. Audrey Alstadt, The Azerbaijani Turks: Power and Identity Under
Russian Rule (Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, 1992) p,7.
2. Alexandre Bennigsen and Chantal Lemercier-Quelquejay, Islam
in the Soviet Union (London: Pall Mall, 1967), p.8; Loweel Tillet,
Great Friendship: Soviet Historians on the Non-Russian Nationalities (Chapel
Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 19697
3. D. Khalidov, Islamskiye Novosti. 25 September 1992, p.3.
4. Nezavisimaya Gazeta'. 12 March 1992 p.3.
5. Leont’eva and Yemel’anchenko "Gazavat kak otvet na genotsid,"
Moskovskle novosti, 15 November 1992.
6. Moskovskie Novosti 15 November, 1993
7. Jane Ornod "Nothern Caucasus: Fragmentation
of Federation," In Bremmer and Taras, eds., Nations and Politics in the
Soviet Successor States. p. 462
8. Ronald Suny, Looking Toward Ararat: Armenia in Modern
History (Bloomington: Indiana University Press. (1993), p.39-40.
9. Ronald Suny, Looking Toward Ararat: Armenia in Modern
History (Bloomington: Indiana University Press. (1993), p.31.
10. R. Batyrshin. Nezavisimaya Gazeta, 12 March, 1992, p.3
11. Karen Dawisha and Bruce Parrot, "Russia and the New States of Eurasia:
The Politics of Upheaval" (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1994),
p.119.
12. A.Vasserman and R. Ginat "National, Territorial or Religious Conflict?
The Case of Nagorno-Karabakh". Studies In Conflict and Terrorism, Vol.17,
pp.345-362.
13. Kommersant, 24-31 August 1992.
14. Suzanne Goldenberg 1994 "Pride of Small Nations: The Caucasus and
Post-Soviet Disorder" Zed Books Ltd: New Jersey, p 118
15. Bill Keller "Did Moscow Incite Azerbaijanis? Some See a Plot."
The New York Times, February 19,1990, p. A8
16. Stephen Jones. Georgia: a failed democratic transition. In 'Nations
and Politics in the Soviet Successor States'. Cambridge University Press
1993
17. Molodezh Gruzii, September 1990.
18. Thomas Goltz "From Eurasia: The hidden Russian Hand," Political
Science (Fall 1993). pp.92-116.
19. Svobodnaya Gruzia, February 1994, p.1.
20. Ibid, p.1.
21. Karen Dawisha and Bruce Parrot. Russia and the New States of Eurasia:
The Politics of Upheaval (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1994, p.120)
22. Shireen Hunter, "Azerbaijan: Search for Identity," in Nations and
politics In the Soviet Successor States. ed. Ian Bremmer and Ray Taras,
University Press, 1993.
23. D. Pipes, "Understanding Islam in Politics," Middle East Review,
winter 1983/84, p.7.
24. Office of Research and Media Reaction October 31, 1994, Washington
DC
25. Eye of the Beholder: Muslim and Non-Muslim Views of Islam, Islamic
Politics and Each Other" USIA Office of Research and Media Reaction 1995
Washington DC.